Nantong Zhiyun 2-4 Chongqing Tongliang Long — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 22 Apr 2025

Nantong Zhiyun
2-4 HT 1-3
Chongqing Tongliang Long
📅22/04/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Nantong Zhiyun vs Chongqing Tongliang Long Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.46
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
38%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.71
Over 2.5
39%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.68
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
17%
4.01
6+ Goals
7%
19.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.68 — our 36% vs market 30.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
26%
+4.9pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.8pp
38%
Away Win
47%
-8.7pp
61%
Under 2.5
55%
+6.5pp
39%
Over 2.5
45%
-6.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.9pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nantong Zhiyun v Chongqing Tongliang Long — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nantong Zhiyun EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Chongqing Tongliang Long EU Bookmakers 51%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -65% / -65%
0.88/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
-12% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -3%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
227 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
– Crosses 21.0
– Yellow Cards 2.0

Nantong Zhiyun 2-4 Chongqing Tongliang Long — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nantong Zhiyun
2-4
AWAY Chongqing Tongliang Long
0.63 xG 1.45
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 9
11 Corners 3
191 Passes 219
70% Pass Accuracy 71%
13 Box Touches 18
24 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Nantong Zhiyun vs Chongqing Tongliang Long
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chongqing Tongliang Long beat Nantong Zhiyun 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (31% / 31% / 38%) promised a tight game; Chongqing Tongliang Long found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nantong Zhiyun had 48% of the ball to Chongqing Tongliang Long's 52%, shots finished 10-19, expected goals 0.63 to 1.45.

What was the final score of Nantong Zhiyun vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?

Nantong Zhiyun 2-4 Chongqing Tongliang Long in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 22/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nantong Zhiyun vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chongqing Tongliang Long win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Nantong Zhiyun 31%, draw 31%, Chongqing Tongliang Long 38%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chongqing Tongliang Long) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chongqing Tongliang Long) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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