Yanbian Longding 3-2 Dalian Huayi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 22 Apr 2025

📅22/04/2025 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.08
Draw
37%
3.04
Away
32%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.48
Over 2.5
32%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.09
No
61%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
42%
2.15
2-3 Goals
37%
1.76
4-5 Goals
16%
5.3
6+ Goals
5%
34.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.15 — our 42% vs market 38.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
12%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
29%
+2.4pp
37%
Draw
30%
+7.1pp
32%
Away Win
41%
-9.5pp
68%
Under 2.5
64%
+4.4pp
32%
Over 2.5
36%
-4.4pp
39%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.9pp
61%
BTTS No
56%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yanbian Longding EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Dalian Huayi EU Bookmakers 45%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
0.90/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/0.52
+6% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +44%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
232 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 410 · 82%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
20.6 Crosses 19.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yanbian Longding
3-2
AWAY Dalian Huayi
0.72 xG 0.96
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
262 Passes 183
73% Pass Accuracy 69%
16 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Yanbian Longding vs Dalian Huayi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yanbian Longding edged past Dalian Huayi 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 37% / 32% — and on the day Yanbian Longding made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Yanbian Longding had 57% of the ball to Dalian Huayi's 43%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 0.72 to 0.96.

What was the final score of Yanbian Longding vs Dalian Huayi?

Yanbian Longding 3-2 Dalian Huayi in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 22/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yanbian Longding vs Dalian Huayi?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Yanbian Longding 32%, draw 37%, Dalian Huayi 32%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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