Burnley U21 4-1 Watford U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Professional Development League, 22 Apr 2025

📅22/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.57
Draw
21%
4.49
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.43
No
38%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
59%
-7.0pp
21%
Draw
19%
+1.6pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+5.4pp
62%
BTTS Yes
66%
-4.1pp
38%
BTTS No
34%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Burnley U21 EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Watford U21 EU Bookmakers 25%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
2.95/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/1.86
+15% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +16%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
404 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Burnley U21
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Watford U21
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
03.05.2024 Watford U21 Watford U21 2-2 HT 1-1 Burnley U21 Burnley U21 INGPDL
POST-MATCH Burnley U21 vs Watford U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Burnley U21 cruised past Watford U21 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Burnley U21 as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (62%) came in.

What was the final score of Burnley U21 vs Watford U21?

Burnley U21 4-1 Watford U21 in the England - Professional Development League on 22/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Burnley U21 vs Watford U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Burnley U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Burnley U21 52%, draw 21%, Watford U21 27%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Burnley U21), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Burnley U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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