Karbala 3-3 Al-Qasim — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 22 Apr 2025

📅22/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.84
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
38%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
Over 2.5
41%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.13
No
55%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+2.3pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.8pp
38%
Away Win
38%
-0.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
43%
+2.2pp
55%
BTTS No
57%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karbala EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Al-Qasim EU Bookmakers 42%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -52% / -52%
1.00/1.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
-10% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
267 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 233 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Karbala vs Al-Qasim
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karbala and Al-Qasim couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 28% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Karbala vs Al-Qasim?

Karbala 3-3 Al-Qasim in the Iraq - Premier League on 22/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karbala vs Al-Qasim?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al-Qasim win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Karbala 34%, draw 28%, Al-Qasim 38%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al-Qasim) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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