Naft Al-Basra 0-1 Al Minaa Basra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 22 Apr 2025

📅22/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.67
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
33%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.54
Over 2.5
38%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.03
No
57%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
34%
+6.5pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.5pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-3.0pp
62%
Under 2.5
61%
+0.8pp
38%
Over 2.5
39%
-0.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
45%
-1.8pp
57%
BTTS No
55%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naft Al-Basra EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Minaa Basra EU Bookmakers 40%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -59% / -59%
0.76/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/3.00
-27% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +76% / -67%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
270 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Naft Al-Basra vs Al Minaa Basra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Minaa Basra edged past Naft Al-Basra 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 33% — and on the day Al Minaa Basra made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

What was the final score of Naft Al-Basra vs Al Minaa Basra?

Naft Al-Basra 0-1 Al Minaa Basra in the Iraq - Premier League on 22/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naft Al-Basra vs Al Minaa Basra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Naft Al-Basra win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Naft Al-Basra 40%, draw 27%, Al Minaa Basra 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Naft Al-Basra) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Naft Al-Basra) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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