Nacional Asuncion 1-1 Deportivo Recoleta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 22 Apr 2025

📅22/04/2025 · 🕒02:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
33%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.64
Over 2.5
48%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
46%
-7.6pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.2pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+7.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
57%
-4.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
43%
+4.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.3pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nacional Asuncion EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Recoleta EU Bookmakers 29%
+1% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +37% / +37%
1.28/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.51/0.98
+2% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +149% / +28%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
256 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nacional Asuncion
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Deportivo Recoleta
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 17
1 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
09.02.2025 Deportivo Recoleta Deportivo Recoleta 1-0 HT 0-0 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nacional Asuncion
1-1
AWAY Deportivo Recoleta
50% Ball Possession 50%
19 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nacional Asuncion vs Deportivo Recoleta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nacional Asuncion and Deportivo Recoleta shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Nacional Asuncion had 50% of the ball to Deportivo Recoleta's 50%, shots finished 19-10.

What was the final score of Nacional Asuncion vs Deportivo Recoleta?

Nacional Asuncion 1-1 Deportivo Recoleta in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 22/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nacional Asuncion vs Deportivo Recoleta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nacional Asuncion win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Nacional Asuncion 39%, draw 28%, Deportivo Recoleta 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Nacional Asuncion), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nacional Asuncion) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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