Kotwica Kolobrzeg 3-4 Ruch Chorzow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 22 Apr 2025

📅22/04/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.08
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
46%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
2.03
Over
46%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.63
No
51%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1
27%
3.67
2-3
40%
1.8
4-5
22%
3.08
6+
11%
10.25
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.67 — our 27% vs market 21.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
12%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
19%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
29%
-0.4pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.7pp
46%
Away Win
45%
+1.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
45%
+8.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
55%
-8.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.3pp
51%
BTTS No
43%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kotwica Kolobrzeg EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Ruch Chorzow EU Bookmakers 49%
-30% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
0.39/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.42
-65% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -30%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
228 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kotwica Kolobrzeg
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Ruch Chorzow
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
4 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 5
04.10.2024 Ruch Chorzow Ruch Chorzow 1-0 HT 0-0 Kotwica Kolobrzeg Kotwica Kolobrzeg POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kotwica Kolobrzeg
3-4
AWAY Ruch Chorzow
58% Ball Possession 42%
8 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kotwica Kolobrzeg vs Ruch Chorzow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ruch Chorzow squeezed past Kotwica Kolobrzeg 4-3 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ruch Chorzow as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Kotwica Kolobrzeg had 58% of the ball to Ruch Chorzow's 42%, shots finished 8-9.

What was the final score of Kotwica Kolobrzeg vs Ruch Chorzow?

Kotwica Kolobrzeg 3-4 Ruch Chorzow in the Poland - 1st Division on 22/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kotwica Kolobrzeg vs Ruch Chorzow?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ruch Chorzow win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Kotwica Kolobrzeg 29%, draw 25%, Ruch Chorzow 46%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ruch Chorzow) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ruch Chorzow) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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