Velbert 1-2 Borussia Dortmund II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 22 Apr 2026

📅22/04/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
4.13
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
60%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
Over 2.5
52%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
14%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
22%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
21%
-2.8pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.0pp
60%
Away Win
58%
+1.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.2pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Velbert EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Borussia Dortmund II EU Bookmakers 62%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.04/2.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.06/0.46
-12% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +122%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
292 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Velbert
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Borussia Dortmund II
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 5.00
18.10.2025 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II 5-0 HT 3-0 Velbert Velbert ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Velbert vs Borussia Dortmund II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Borussia Dortmund II nicked a narrow win over Velbert 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Borussia Dortmund II as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

What was the final score of Velbert vs Borussia Dortmund II?

Velbert 1-2 Borussia Dortmund II in the Germany - Regional League on 22/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Velbert vs Borussia Dortmund II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Borussia Dortmund II win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Velbert 18%, draw 22%, Borussia Dortmund II 60%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Borussia Dortmund II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Borussia Dortmund II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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