Phönix Lübeck 3-0 St. Pauli II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 22 Apr 2026

📅22/04/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
29%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.18
Over 2.5
52%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.56
No
49%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-1.0pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.2pp
29%
Away Win
31%
-2.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
42%
+6.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
58%
-6.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.9pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Phönix Lübeck EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Pauli II EU Bookmakers 34%
+1% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -9%
1.81/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.67
+7% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
322 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Phönix Lübeck
3W-2D-1L
AWAY St. Pauli II
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
27.08.2025 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II 1-1 HT 0-0 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck ALMBÖL
21.04.2025 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck 2-0 HT 1-0 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II ALMBÖL
25.08.2024 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II 3-5 HT 2-2 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck ALMBÖL
27.03.2024 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II 0-0 HT 0-0 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck ALMBÖL
27.08.2023 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck 0-5 HT 0-0 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II ALMBÖL
26.11.2022 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II 0-3 HT 0-2 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Phönix Lübeck vs St. Pauli II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Phönix Lübeck swept aside St. Pauli II 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Phönix Lübeck as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Phönix Lübeck had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Phönix Lübeck and 1.50 for St. Pauli II.

What was the final score of Phönix Lübeck vs St. Pauli II?

Phönix Lübeck 3-0 St. Pauli II in the Germany - Regional League on 22/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Phönix Lübeck vs St. Pauli II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Phönix Lübeck win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Phönix Lübeck 45%, draw 27%, St. Pauli II 29%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Phönix Lübeck), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Phönix Lübeck) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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