St. Pauli II vs Phönix Lübeck Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
St. Pauli II v Phönix Lübeck — Team-Based Signals
St. Pauli II vs Phönix Lübeck Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-5
HT 0-0
St. Pauli II
ALMBÖL
0-3
HT 0-2
Phönix Lübeck
ALMBÖL
1-3
HT 0-0
St. Pauli II
ALMBÖL
2-0
HT 2-0
St. Pauli II
ALMBÖL
3-1
HT 1-1
Phönix Lübeck
ALMBÖL
St. Pauli II 3-5 Phönix Lübeck — Actual Match Statistics
Phönix Lübeck beat St. Pauli II 5-3 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (39% / 25% / 35%) promised a tight game; Phönix Lübeck found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, St. Pauli II had 42% of the ball to Phönix Lübeck's 58%, shots finished 11-21.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Pauli II had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for St. Pauli II and 1.17 for Phönix Lübeck.
What was the final score of St. Pauli II vs Phönix Lübeck?
St. Pauli II 3-5 Phönix Lübeck in the Germany - Regional League on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for St. Pauli II vs Phönix Lübeck?
Before kick-off our model rated a St. Pauli II win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split St. Pauli II 39%, draw 25%, Phönix Lübeck 35%. The final score 3-5 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.