Sonnenhof Grossaspach 4-0 SGV Freiberg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 22 Apr 2026

📅22/04/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.92
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.23
Over 2.5
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.5
No
39%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
48%
-1.4pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.7pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+0.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.2pp
61%
BTTS Yes
62%
-1.9pp
39%
BTTS No
38%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sonnenhof Grossaspach EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY SGV Freiberg EU Bookmakers 31%
-11% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / -2%
2.31/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.51
+29% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +11%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
411 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sonnenhof Grossaspach
0W-1D-0L
AWAY SGV Freiberg
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
18.10.2025 SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg 1-1 HT 0-0 Sonnenhof Grossaspach Sonnenhof Grossaspach ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs SGV Freiberg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sonnenhof Grossaspach cruised past SGV Freiberg 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sonnenhof Grossaspach as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while both teams to score (61%) missed.

What was the final score of Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs SGV Freiberg?

Sonnenhof Grossaspach 4-0 SGV Freiberg in the Germany - Regional League on 22/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs SGV Freiberg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sonnenhof Grossaspach win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Sonnenhof Grossaspach 47%, draw 26%, SGV Freiberg 28%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sonnenhof Grossaspach), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sonnenhof Grossaspach) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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