St. Pauli II 1-1 Phönix Lübeck — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 27 Aug 2025

📅27/08/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.17
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
49%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.55
No
42%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
28%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
28%
-1.9pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.8pp
49%
Away Win
50%
-0.9pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.0pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Pauli II EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Phönix Lübeck EU Bookmakers 55%
+0% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.43/1.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.94/1.40
+6% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -14%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
290 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 4.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Pauli II
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Phönix Lübeck
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
21.04.2025 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck 2-0 HT 1-0 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II ALMBÖL
25.08.2024 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II 3-5 HT 2-2 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck ALMBÖL
27.03.2024 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II 0-0 HT 0-0 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck ALMBÖL
27.08.2023 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck 0-5 HT 0-0 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II ALMBÖL
26.11.2022 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II 0-3 HT 0-2 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck ALMBÖL
31.07.2022 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck 1-3 HT 0-0 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH St. Pauli II vs Phönix Lübeck
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Pauli II and Phönix Lübeck shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Phönix Lübeck at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (58%) landed while over 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Phönix Lübeck led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for St. Pauli II and 1.83 for Phönix Lübeck.

What was the final score of St. Pauli II vs Phönix Lübeck?

St. Pauli II 1-1 Phönix Lübeck in the Germany - Regional League on 27/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Pauli II vs Phönix Lübeck?

Before kick-off our model rated an Phönix Lübeck win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split St. Pauli II 26%, draw 25%, Phönix Lübeck 49%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Phönix Lübeck), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Phönix Lübeck) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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