Phönix Lübeck 2-0 St. Pauli II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 21 Apr 2025

📅21/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.82
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
35%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.53
No
45%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
51%
-8.7pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.3pp
35%
Away Win
25%
+10.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
61%
-6.3pp
45%
BTTS No
39%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Phönix Lübeck EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Pauli II EU Bookmakers 29%
-7% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +5%
2.12/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/1.82
+19% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / -8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
377 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Phönix Lübeck
3W-1D-2L
AWAY St. Pauli II
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
25.08.2024 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II 3-5 HT 2-2 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck ALMBÖL
27.03.2024 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II 0-0 HT 0-0 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck ALMBÖL
27.08.2023 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck 0-5 HT 0-0 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II ALMBÖL
26.11.2022 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II 0-3 HT 0-2 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck ALMBÖL
31.07.2022 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck 1-3 HT 0-0 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II ALMBÖL
20.11.2021 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck 2-0 HT 2-0 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Phönix Lübeck vs St. Pauli II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Phönix Lübeck got the better of St. Pauli II 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Phönix Lübeck as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Phönix Lübeck had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Phönix Lübeck and 1.83 for St. Pauli II.

What was the final score of Phönix Lübeck vs St. Pauli II?

Phönix Lübeck 2-0 St. Pauli II in the Germany - Regional League on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Phönix Lübeck vs St. Pauli II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Phönix Lübeck win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Phönix Lübeck 42%, draw 23%, St. Pauli II 35%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Phönix Lübeck) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Phönix Lübeck) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ALMBÖL More Germany - Regional League
21 Apr 2025
15:00 Todesfelde vs Eintracht Norderstedt Analysis →
15:00 Weiche Flensburg vs Bremer SV Analysis →
15:00 Chemie Leipzig vs Viktoria Berlin Analysis →