Chemie Leipzig 4-0 Viktoria Berlin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 21 Apr 2025

📅21/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.02
Draw
33%
3.35
Away
28%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.82
Over 2.5
38%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.75
No
54%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
20%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
46%
-6.6pp
33%
Draw
26%
+7.0pp
28%
Away Win
28%
-0.4pp
62%
Under 2.5
51%
+10.5pp
38%
Over 2.5
49%
-10.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.2pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chemie Leipzig EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Viktoria Berlin EU Bookmakers 32%
-2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +2%
1.15/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.43
-31% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +8%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
346 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chemie Leipzig
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Viktoria Berlin
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.10.2024 Viktoria Berlin Viktoria Berlin 2-0 HT 1-0 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig ALMBÖL
06.03.2024 Viktoria Berlin Viktoria Berlin 1-0 HT 0-0 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig ALMBÖL
06.08.2023 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig 1-0 HT 1-0 Viktoria Berlin Viktoria Berlin ALMBÖL
14.04.2023 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig 1-1 HT 1-1 Viktoria Berlin Viktoria Berlin ALMBÖL
29.10.2022 Viktoria Berlin Viktoria Berlin 0-2 HT 0-1 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig ALMBÖL
26.09.2020 Viktoria Berlin Viktoria Berlin 3-2 HT 1-0 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Chemie Leipzig vs Viktoria Berlin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chemie Leipzig swept aside Viktoria Berlin 4-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 33% / 28% — and on the day Chemie Leipzig made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Viktoria Berlin led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Chemie Leipzig and 1.17 for Viktoria Berlin.

What was the final score of Chemie Leipzig vs Viktoria Berlin?

Chemie Leipzig 4-0 Viktoria Berlin in the Germany - Regional League on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chemie Leipzig vs Viktoria Berlin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chemie Leipzig win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Chemie Leipzig 39%, draw 33%, Viktoria Berlin 28%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chemie Leipzig), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chemie Leipzig) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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