Spartak Trnava 2-1 Dunajska Streda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovakia Super League, 22 Apr 2026

📅22/04/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.25
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.41
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
3.15
6+ Goals
10%
11.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.41 — our 28% vs market 22.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
41%
+0.8pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.3pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+0.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.4pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spartak Trnava EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Dunajska Streda EU Bookmakers 34%
-3% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +6%
1.40/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.52
-46% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +4%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
286 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 78%
27.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
23.4 Crosses 14.4
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spartak Trnava
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Dunajska Streda
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.36 xG 1.73
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
265 Passes 340
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
26 Box Touches 21
21 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 3
07.12.2025 Dunajska Streda Dunajska Streda 3-1 HT 2-0 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava SLVK
31.08.2025 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava 0-3 HT 0-1 Dunajska Streda Dunajska Streda SLVK
11.05.2025 Dunajska Streda Dunajska Streda 1-0 HT 1-0 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava SLVK
08.03.2025 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava 1-1 HT 0-1 Dunajska Streda Dunajska Streda SLVK
16.02.2025 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava 1-1 HT 0-0 Dunajska Streda Dunajska Streda SLVK
28.09.2024 Dunajska Streda Dunajska Streda 0-0 HT 0-0 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava SLVK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spartak Trnava
2-1
AWAY Dunajska Streda
1.19 xG 1.27
63% Ball Possession 37%
11 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
337 Passes 162
77% Pass Accuracy 65%
23 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Spartak Trnava vs Dunajska Streda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spartak Trnava edged past Dunajska Streda 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Spartak Trnava as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Spartak Trnava had 63% of the ball to Dunajska Streda's 37%, shots finished 11-16, expected goals 1.19 to 1.27.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dunajska Streda led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Spartak Trnava and 1.50 for Dunajska Streda.

What was the final score of Spartak Trnava vs Dunajska Streda?

Spartak Trnava 2-1 Dunajska Streda in the Slovakia Super League on 22/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spartak Trnava vs Dunajska Streda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spartak Trnava win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Spartak Trnava 42%, draw 26%, Dunajska Streda 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spartak Trnava), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Spartak Trnava) ✓ BTTS Yes
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