Kitara 0-0 Calvary — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 22 Apr 2026

📅22/04/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
77%
1.18
Draw
16%
5.71
Away
7%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
No
53%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
48%
1/2
2%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
3%
X/X
7%
2/1
11%
2/2
3%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
76%
Home Win
80%
-3.6pp
16%
Draw
14%
+2.0pp
7%
Away Win
6%
+1.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kitara EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Calvary EU Bookmakers 8%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
2.00/0.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.37/2.27
-8% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / -16%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
380 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kitara
0-0
AWAY Calvary
56% Ball Possession 44%
23 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Kitara vs Calvary
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kitara and Calvary played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Kitara at 76% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Kitara had 56% of the ball to Calvary's 44%, shots finished 23-7.

What was the final score of Kitara vs Calvary?

Kitara 0-0 Calvary in the Uganda - Premier League on 22/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kitara vs Calvary?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kitara win the most likely single outcome at about 76%, with the full match-result split Kitara 76%, draw 16%, Calvary 7%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Kitara), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kitara) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
UGA More Uganda - Premier League
22 Apr 2026
16:00 Lugazi Municipal vs SC Villa Analysis →