AE Larissa 1-1 Kifisia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 22 Apr 2026

AE Larissa
1-1 HT 0-1
Kifisia
📅22/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Greece - Super League – 2025/2026

AE Larissa vs Kifisia Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.46
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.53
2-3 Goals
42%
1.7
4-5 Goals
17%
4.12
6+ Goals
8%
20.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.53 — our 33% vs market 31.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.8
1/2
7%
32.0
1/X
5%
13.7
X/1
13%
5.32
X/2
10%
5.52
X/X
12%
4.1
2/1
6%
31.0
2/2
17%
4.02
2/X
7%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
37%
+4.1pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.4pp
34%
Away Win
35%
-0.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.7pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

AE Larissa v Kifisia — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AE Larissa EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Kifisia EU Bookmakers 38%
-12% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
0.91/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.29
-22% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +0%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
282 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 78%
17.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
19.3 Crosses 15.0
3.2 Yellow Cards 4.0

AE Larissa vs Kifisia Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AE Larissa
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Kifisia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.17 xG 1.62
42% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
248 Passes 358
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Box Touches 26
10 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
10.01.2026 Kifisia Kifisia 1-1 HT 0-0 AE Larissa AE Larissa YUN
30.08.2025 AE Larissa AE Larissa 1-1 HT 0-0 Kifisia Kifisia YUN

AE Larissa 1-1 Kifisia — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AE Larissa
1-1
AWAY Kifisia
0.76 xG 1.66
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
390 Passes 249
86% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Box Touches 15
25 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH AE Larissa vs Kifisia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AE Larissa and Kifisia couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was AE Larissa at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, AE Larissa had 59% of the ball to Kifisia's 41%, shots finished 13-14, expected goals 0.76 to 1.66.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for AE Larissa and 1.00 for Kifisia.

What was the final score of AE Larissa vs Kifisia?

AE Larissa 1-1 Kifisia in the Greece - Super League on 22/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AE Larissa vs Kifisia?

Before kick-off our model rated a AE Larissa win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split AE Larissa 41%, draw 25%, Kifisia 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (AE Larissa) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AE Larissa) ✓ Under 2.5
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