Asteras Tripolis 2-1 Panaitolikos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 22 Apr 2026

📅22/04/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.18
Draw
34%
3.04
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.59
Over 2.5
35%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
40%
2.37
2-3 Goals
37%
1.7
4-5 Goals
16%
4.44
6+ Goals
7%
24.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.37 — our 40% vs market 33.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.24
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
6%
13.4
X/1
11%
4.83
X/2
11%
6.45
X/X
19%
3.83
2/1
10%
30.5
2/2
13%
5.07
2/X
9%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-4.8pp
34%
Draw
30%
+4.8pp
28%
Away Win
28%
-0.0pp
65%
Under 2.5
59%
+5.8pp
35%
Over 2.5
41%
-5.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.0pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Asteras Tripolis EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Panaitolikos EU Bookmakers 32%
-3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +34%
1.11/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.14
+16% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +73%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
316 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 77%
18.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.8
23.8 Crosses 13.1
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Asteras Tripolis
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Panaitolikos
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.03 xG 1.15
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
332 Passes 308
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
15 Box Touches 19
24 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.02.2026 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos 3-1 HT 1-1 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
22.11.2025 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 1-1 HT 1-0 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
13.01.2025 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 2-0 HT 0-0 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
21.09.2024 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos 1-1 HT 1-1 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
20.04.2024 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 0-2 HT 0-1 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
19.02.2024 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 2-2 HT 1-1 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Asteras Tripolis
2-1
AWAY Panaitolikos
1.74 xG 1.12
41% Ball Possession 59%
17 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 2
264 Passes 386
84% Pass Accuracy 86%
27 Box Touches 13
16 Crosses 16
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Asteras Tripolis vs Panaitolikos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Asteras Tripolis squeezed past Panaitolikos 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 34% / 28% — and on the day Asteras Tripolis made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Asteras Tripolis had 41% of the ball to Panaitolikos's 59%, shots finished 17-6, expected goals 1.74 to 1.12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Panaitolikos led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Asteras Tripolis and 1.50 for Panaitolikos.

What was the final score of Asteras Tripolis vs Panaitolikos?

Asteras Tripolis 2-1 Panaitolikos in the Greece - Super League on 22/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Asteras Tripolis vs Panaitolikos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Asteras Tripolis win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Asteras Tripolis 37%, draw 34%, Panaitolikos 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Asteras Tripolis) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Asteras Tripolis) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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