Panaitolikos 1-1 Asteras Tripolis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.8
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
37%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.62
Over 2.5
39%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.9
No
58%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.59
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
16%
4.54
6+ Goals
8%
24.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.59 — our 36% vs market 32.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.48
1/2
6%
32.0
1/X
9%
13.35
X/1
14%
5.97
X/2
13%
5.07
X/X
10%
3.82
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
18%
3.55
2/X
8%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+3.4pp
27%
Draw
30%
-2.4pp
37%
Away Win
38%
-1.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
58%
+2.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
42%
-2.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.4pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Panaitolikos EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Asteras Tripolis EU Bookmakers 42%
-10% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +19%
1.02/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/0.88
-44% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +57%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
323 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 72%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.2
19.7 Crosses 15.2
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Panaitolikos
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Asteras Tripolis
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.66 xG 1.15
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
299 Passes 390
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
13 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 2
20.04.2024 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 0-2 HT 0-1 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
19.02.2024 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 2-2 HT 1-1 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
05.11.2023 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos 0-1 HT 0-1 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
18.03.2023 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 2-1 HT 1-0 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
05.02.2023 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos 0-0 HT 0-0 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
16.10.2022 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 0-0 HT 0-0 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Panaitolikos
1-1
AWAY Asteras Tripolis
1.37 xG 0.47
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 3
440 Passes 321
86% Pass Accuracy 83%
17 Box Touches 8
26 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Panaitolikos vs Asteras Tripolis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Panaitolikos and Asteras Tripolis shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 27% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Panaitolikos had 57% of the ball to Asteras Tripolis's 43%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 1.37 to 0.47.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Asteras Tripolis led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Panaitolikos and 0.83 for Asteras Tripolis.

What was the final score of Panaitolikos vs Asteras Tripolis?

Panaitolikos 1-1 Asteras Tripolis in the Greece - Super League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Panaitolikos vs Asteras Tripolis?

Before kick-off our model rated an Asteras Tripolis win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Panaitolikos 36%, draw 27%, Asteras Tripolis 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Asteras Tripolis), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Asteras Tripolis) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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