Asteras Tripolis 0-2 Panaitolikos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 20 Apr 2024

Asteras Tripolis
0-2 HT 0-1
Panaitolikos
📅20/04/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Greece - Super League – 2023/2024

Asteras Tripolis vs Panaitolikos Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
38%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.74
Over 2.5
43%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.81
No
56%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.9
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.02
6+ Goals
10%
18.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.9 — our 32% vs market 28.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.32
1/2
7%
29.5
1/X
6%
13.15
X/1
12%
5.98
X/2
16%
5.11
X/X
12%
4.16
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
15%
3.46
2/X
8%
13.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
33%
+2.9pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.1pp
38%
Away Win
38%
-0.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
54%
+3.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
46%
-3.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.2pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Asteras Tripolis v Panaitolikos — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Asteras Tripolis EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Panaitolikos EU Bookmakers 43%
-3% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
0.85/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/1.16
-23% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -65% / +25%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
253 · 63% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 199 · 61%
15.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
19.1 Crosses 16.2
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.5

Asteras Tripolis vs Panaitolikos Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Asteras Tripolis
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Panaitolikos
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.15 xG 0.53
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
378 Passes 316
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
15 Box Touches 13
19 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
19.02.2024 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 2-2 HT 1-1 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
05.11.2023 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos 0-1 HT 0-1 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
18.03.2023 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 2-1 HT 1-0 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
05.02.2023 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos 0-0 HT 0-0 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
16.10.2022 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 0-0 HT 0-0 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
16.04.2022 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos 0-0 HT 0-0 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN

Asteras Tripolis 0-2 Panaitolikos — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Asteras Tripolis
0-2
AWAY Panaitolikos
0.66 xG 1.17
70% Ball Possession 30%
10 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 7
10 Corners 6
500 Passes 181
87% Pass Accuracy 74%
16 Box Touches 10
39 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Asteras Tripolis vs Panaitolikos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Panaitolikos saw off Asteras Tripolis 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 26% / 38% — and on the day Panaitolikos made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Asteras Tripolis had 70% of the ball to Panaitolikos's 30%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 0.66 to 1.17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Asteras Tripolis had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Asteras Tripolis and 0.50 for Panaitolikos.

What was the final score of Asteras Tripolis vs Panaitolikos?

Asteras Tripolis 0-2 Panaitolikos in the Greece - Super League on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Asteras Tripolis vs Panaitolikos?

Before kick-off our model rated an Panaitolikos win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Asteras Tripolis 36%, draw 26%, Panaitolikos 38%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Panaitolikos), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Panaitolikos) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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