OFI 2-1 Volos NFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 20 Apr 2024

OFI
2-1 HT 1-0
Volos NFC
📅20/04/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Greece - Super League – 2023/2024

OFI vs Volos NFC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.02
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.46
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.45
6+ Goals
9%
13.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.46 — our 28% vs market 23.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.8
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
8%
12.3
X/1
18%
4.76
X/2
10%
7.41
X/X
12%
4.49
2/1
9%
25.5
2/2
14%
5.27
2/X
5%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
+1.0pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.1pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+2.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.2pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

OFI v Volos NFC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME OFI EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Volos NFC EU Bookmakers 30%
-11% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +21%
1.33/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.07
-1% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +27%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
357 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 73%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.7
20.7 Crosses 13.8
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.5

OFI vs Volos NFC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME OFI
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Volos NFC
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.07 xG 0.89
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
333 Passes 244
80% Pass Accuracy 72%
23 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
28.02.2024 Volos NFC Volos NFC 3-1 HT 1-1 OFI OFI YUN
24.11.2023 OFI OFI 1-1 HT 0-1 Volos NFC Volos NFC YUN
03.01.2023 OFI OFI 0-0 HT 0-0 Volos NFC Volos NFC YUN
04.09.2022 Volos NFC Volos NFC 0-1 HT 0-1 OFI OFI YUN
14.05.2022 Volos NFC Volos NFC 5-0 HT 3-0 OFI OFI YUN
13.02.2022 OFI OFI 2-1 HT 2-0 Volos NFC Volos NFC YUN

OFI 2-1 Volos NFC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME OFI
2-1
AWAY Volos NFC
1.21 xG 0.51
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
338 Passes 474
78% Pass Accuracy 85%
23 Box Touches 18
6 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH OFI vs Volos NFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

OFI edged past Volos NFC 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had OFI as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, OFI had 43% of the ball to Volos NFC's 57%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 1.21 to 0.51.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for OFI and 1.67 for Volos NFC.

What was the final score of OFI vs Volos NFC?

OFI 2-1 Volos NFC in the Greece - Super League on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for OFI vs Volos NFC?

Before kick-off our model rated a OFI win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split OFI 46%, draw 25%, Volos NFC 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (OFI) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (OFI) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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