Atromitos 1-2 Kifisia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.57
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
40%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
1.9
Over 2.5
58%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.68
No
40%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.39
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
29%
3.5
6+ Goals
11%
13.6
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.5 — our 29% vs market 23.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
3.97
1/2 EV+ ✓
7%
27.5
1/X
4%
13.15
X/1
18%
5.82
X/2
15%
5.26
X/X
13%
4.67
2/1
5%
29.5
2/2
18%
3.45
2/X
9%
13.1
Value flag · 1/2 at 27.5 — our 7% vs market 1.6%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
35%
-1.3pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.8pp
40%
Away Win
38%
+2.2pp
42%
Under 2.5
49%
-6.6pp
58%
Over 2.5
51%
+6.6pp
60%
BTTS Yes
56%
+4.8pp
40%
BTTS No
44%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atromitos EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Kifisia EU Bookmakers 42%
-4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+25% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
316 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 80%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.3 Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atromitos
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Kifisia
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.94 xG 0.85
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
374 Passes 228
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
21 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 4
04.01.2024 Atromitos Atromitos 3-0 HT 1-0 Kifisia Kifisia YUN
01.09.2023 Kifisia Kifisia 2-1 HT 1-0 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atromitos
1-2
AWAY Kifisia
1.18 xG 1.12
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 5
342 Passes 216
79% Pass Accuracy 75%
17 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Atromitos vs Kifisia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kifisia nicked a narrow win over Atromitos 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 26% / 40% — and on the day Kifisia made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, Atromitos had 60% of the ball to Kifisia's 40%, shots finished 15-15, expected goals 1.18 to 1.12.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Atromitos and 1.00 for Kifisia.

What was the final score of Atromitos vs Kifisia?

Atromitos 1-2 Kifisia in the Greece - Super League on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atromitos vs Kifisia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kifisia win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Atromitos 34%, draw 26%, Kifisia 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kifisia), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kifisia) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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