Volos NFC 1-4 PAOK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 21 Sep 2024

Volos NFC
1-4 HT 0-1
PAOK
📅21/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 ✗ 2nd Score 0-4 ✗
Greece - Super League – 2024/2025

Volos NFC vs PAOK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
6.35
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
55%
1.41
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.91
Over 2.5
53%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.13
No
53%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.38
2-3 Goals
43%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.51
6+ Goals
9%
13.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
13.1
1/2
6%
24.85
1/X
5%
21.3
X/1
8%
15.15
X/2
19%
3.38
X/X
14%
5.93
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
30%
1.71
2/X
4%
20.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
13%
+8.8pp
23%
Draw
20%
+2.9pp
55%
Away Win
67%
-11.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
43%
+4.2pp
53%
BTTS No
57%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Volos NFC v PAOK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Volos NFC EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY PAOK EU Bookmakers 71%
-3% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +10%
0.56/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/0.65
-29% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -1%
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
254 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 393 · 80%
10.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.5
12.3 Crosses 19.3
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.7

Volos NFC vs PAOK Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Volos NFC
0W-0D-6L
AWAY PAOK
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
0.34 xG 2.07
33% Ball Possession 67%
6 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
194 Passes 511
74% Pass Accuracy 88%
5 Box Touches 32
7 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
21.01.2024 Volos NFC Volos NFC 1-5 HT 0-2 PAOK PAOK YUN
10.01.2024 Volos NFC Volos NFC 0-2 HT 0-1 PAOK PAOK YUK
07.12.2023 PAOK PAOK 1-0 HT 1-0 Volos NFC Volos NFC YUK
27.09.2023 PAOK PAOK 3-0 HT 2-0 Volos NFC Volos NFC YUN
08.05.2023 Volos NFC Volos NFC 0-2 HT 0-1 PAOK PAOK YUN
09.04.2023 PAOK PAOK 4-2 HT 4-0 Volos NFC Volos NFC YUN

Volos NFC 1-4 PAOK — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Volos NFC
1-4
AWAY PAOK
1.48 xG 2.22
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 17
8 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 5
249 Passes 357
78% Pass Accuracy 85%
14 Box Touches 46
16 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Volos NFC vs PAOK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PAOK cruised past Volos NFC 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had PAOK as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Volos NFC had 43% of the ball to PAOK's 57%, shots finished 12-17, expected goals 1.48 to 2.22.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, PAOK led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Volos NFC and 2.83 for PAOK.

What was the final score of Volos NFC vs PAOK?

Volos NFC 1-4 PAOK in the Greece - Super League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Volos NFC vs PAOK?

Before kick-off our model rated an PAOK win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Volos NFC 22%, draw 23%, PAOK 55%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PAOK), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (PAOK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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