Volos NFC 1-5 PAOK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 21 Jan 2024

Volos NFC
1-5 HT 0-2
PAOK
📅21/01/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Greece - Super League – 2023/2024

Volos NFC vs PAOK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
5.91
Draw
31%
4.34
Away
49%
1.41
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.07
Over 2.5
49%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
2.03
No
44%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.61
2-3 Goals
43%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.23
6+ Goals
10%
11.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
12.65
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
23.85
1/X
6%
20.45
X/1
5%
15.15
X/2
15%
3.44
X/X
18%
6.15
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
25%
1.68
2/X
8%
19.5
Value flag · 1/2 at 23.85 — our 8% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
14%
+6.6pp
31%
Draw
20%
+11.4pp
48%
Away Win
66%
-17.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
45%
+10.4pp
44%
BTTS No
55%
-10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Volos NFC v PAOK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Volos NFC EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY PAOK EU Bookmakers 71%
+6% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -7%
1.07/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/0.68
+11% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -9%
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
235 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 415 · 83%
17.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.0
16.6 Crosses 18.8
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.8

Volos NFC vs PAOK Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Volos NFC
0W-0D-6L
AWAY PAOK
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.19 xG 1.97
33% Ball Possession 67%
5 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
192 Passes 512
74% Pass Accuracy 89%
4 Box Touches 32
7 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
10.01.2024 Volos NFC Volos NFC 0-2 HT 0-1 PAOK PAOK YUK
07.12.2023 PAOK PAOK 1-0 HT 1-0 Volos NFC Volos NFC YUK
27.09.2023 PAOK PAOK 3-0 HT 2-0 Volos NFC Volos NFC YUN
08.05.2023 Volos NFC Volos NFC 0-2 HT 0-1 PAOK PAOK YUN
09.04.2023 PAOK PAOK 4-2 HT 4-0 Volos NFC Volos NFC YUN
12.03.2023 Volos NFC Volos NFC 0-1 HT 0-1 PAOK PAOK YUN

Volos NFC 1-5 PAOK — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Volos NFC
1-5
AWAY PAOK
0.82 xG 1.58
37% Ball Possession 63%
11 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 5
191 Passes 376
71% Pass Accuracy 80%
13 Box Touches 28
13 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Volos NFC vs PAOK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PAOK ran out comfortable winners over Volos NFC 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had PAOK as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Volos NFC had 37% of the ball to PAOK's 63%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 0.82 to 1.58.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, PAOK led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Volos NFC and 2.17 for PAOK.

What was the final score of Volos NFC vs PAOK?

Volos NFC 1-5 PAOK in the Greece - Super League on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Volos NFC vs PAOK?

Before kick-off our model rated an PAOK win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Volos NFC 20%, draw 31%, PAOK 48%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PAOK), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (PAOK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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