Panathinaikos 2-0 Asteras Tripolis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 21 Jan 2024

📅21/01/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.32
Draw
20%
4.49
Away
18%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.0
Over 2.5
48%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.27
No
58%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
3.51
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.31
6+ Goals
11%
12.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.51 — our 24% vs market 22.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.53
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
7%
21.75
X/1
27%
3.37
X/2
6%
20.4
X/X
8%
6.15
2/1
7%
27.5
2/2
7%
18.05
2/X
5%
23.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
71%
-9.8pp
21%
Draw
19%
+1.3pp
18%
Away Win
10%
+8.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
46%
+5.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
54%
-5.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
40%
+2.0pp
58%
BTTS No
60%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Panathinaikos EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Asteras Tripolis EU Bookmakers 12%
+0% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +6%
1.81/0.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.67
-1% / +77% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +1%
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
429 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 75%
28.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.3
20.1 Crosses 13.1
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Panathinaikos
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Asteras Tripolis
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.42 xG 0.79
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
446 Passes 258
86% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Box Touches 11
20 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 4
28.09.2023 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 1-4 HT 1-2 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
30.01.2023 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 1-0 HT 0-0 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
09.10.2022 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 1-0 HT 0-0 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
29.01.2022 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 0-1 HT 0-0 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
23.10.2021 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 2-1 HT 2-1 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
05.05.2021 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 2-2 HT 1-2 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Panathinaikos
2-0
AWAY Asteras Tripolis
0.93 xG 0.27
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 3
473 Passes 299
86% Pass Accuracy 80%
27 Box Touches 11
29 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Panathinaikos vs Asteras Tripolis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Panathinaikos got the better of Asteras Tripolis 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Panathinaikos as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Panathinaikos had 60% of the ball to Asteras Tripolis's 40%, shots finished 18-8, expected goals 0.93 to 0.27.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Asteras Tripolis led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Panathinaikos and 1.17 for Asteras Tripolis.

What was the final score of Panathinaikos vs Asteras Tripolis?

Panathinaikos 2-0 Asteras Tripolis in the Greece - Super League on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Panathinaikos vs Asteras Tripolis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Panathinaikos win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Panathinaikos 62%, draw 21%, Asteras Tripolis 18%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Panathinaikos), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Panathinaikos) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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