Atromitos 0-5 AEK Atina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 21 Jan 2024

📅21/01/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
6.35
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
52%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.18
Over 2.5
53%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.0
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
24%
3.03
6+ Goals
9%
9.63
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
12.3
1/2
8%
23.45
1/X
5%
18.35
X/1
7%
15.45
X/2
16%
3.67
X/X
15%
5.99
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
29%
1.68
2/X
5%
17.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
13%
+10.0pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.4pp
52%
Away Win
66%
-14.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
42%
+4.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
58%
-4.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.8pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atromitos EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY AEK Atina EU Bookmakers 70%
+15% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +2%
0.63/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/0.76
+24% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -16%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
244 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 408 · 82%
9.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.2
10.8 Crosses 18.9
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atromitos
0W-0D-6L
AWAY AEK Atina
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.62 xG 1.85
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
227 Passes 401
72% Pass Accuracy 83%
8 Box Touches 29
8 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
28.09.2023 AEK Atina AEK Atina 2-1 HT 1-0 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
08.03.2023 Atromitos Atromitos 0-1 HT 0-1 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
16.10.2022 AEK Atina AEK Atina 1-0 HT 0-0 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
23.01.2022 Atromitos Atromitos 0-2 HT 0-1 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
17.10.2021 AEK Atina AEK Atina 3-0 HT 1-0 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
17.01.2021 AEK Atina AEK Atina 2-1 HT 0-0 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atromitos
0-5
AWAY AEK Atina
0.49 xG 3.42
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 10
7 Corners 7
198 Passes 343
67% Pass Accuracy 80%
10 Box Touches 34
14 Crosses 22
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Atromitos vs AEK Atina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AEK Atina cruised past Atromitos 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had AEK Atina as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Atromitos had 41% of the ball to AEK Atina's 59%, shots finished 9-18, expected goals 0.49 to 3.42.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, AEK Atina led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Atromitos and 1.83 for AEK Atina.

What was the final score of Atromitos vs AEK Atina?

Atromitos 0-5 AEK Atina in the Greece - Super League on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atromitos vs AEK Atina?

Before kick-off our model rated an AEK Atina win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Atromitos 23%, draw 25%, AEK Atina 52%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AEK Atina), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (AEK Atina) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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