Asteras Tripolis 2-0 Panaitolikos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 13 Jan 2025

📅13/01/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
1.75
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
35%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.56
Over 2.5
43%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.16
No
56%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.31
2-3 Goals
38%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
4.66
6+ Goals
8%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.36
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.4
X/1
10%
3.89
X/2
13%
9.76
X/X
15%
3.95
2/1
7%
31.0
2/2
14%
8.65
2/X
8%
16.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
54%
-17.5pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.8pp
35%
Away Win
18%
+16.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
60%
-3.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
40%
+3.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.3pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Asteras Tripolis EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Panaitolikos EU Bookmakers 21%
-3% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +29%
1.34/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.14
+2% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +18%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
331 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 75%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
24.2 Crosses 13.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Asteras Tripolis
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Panaitolikos
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.04 xG 0.85
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
358 Passes 332
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 14
23 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 4
21.09.2024 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos 1-1 HT 1-1 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
20.04.2024 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 0-2 HT 0-1 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
19.02.2024 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 2-2 HT 1-1 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
05.11.2023 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos 0-1 HT 0-1 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
18.03.2023 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 2-1 HT 1-0 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
05.02.2023 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos 0-0 HT 0-0 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Asteras Tripolis
2-0
AWAY Panaitolikos
1.16 xG 1.01
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
218 Passes 163
62% Pass Accuracy 57%
13 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Asteras Tripolis vs Panaitolikos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Asteras Tripolis beat Panaitolikos 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 29% / 35%) promised a tight game; Asteras Tripolis found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Asteras Tripolis had 55% of the ball to Panaitolikos's 45%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 1.16 to 1.01.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Asteras Tripolis had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Asteras Tripolis and 1.00 for Panaitolikos.

What was the final score of Asteras Tripolis vs Panaitolikos?

Asteras Tripolis 2-0 Panaitolikos in the Greece - Super League on 13/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Asteras Tripolis vs Panaitolikos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Asteras Tripolis win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Asteras Tripolis 36%, draw 29%, Panaitolikos 35%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Asteras Tripolis), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Asteras Tripolis) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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YUN More Greece - Super League
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