Asteras Tripolis 1-1 Panaitolikos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 22 Nov 2025

📅22/11/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.92
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
23%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.68
Over 2.5
46%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.69
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
4.01
6+ Goals
9%
19.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.68
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
8%
13.45
X/1
18%
4.56
X/2
6%
8.11
X/X
14%
4.22
2/1
10%
27.5
2/2
11%
6.56
2/X
6%
14.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
48%
+0.9pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.5pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-0.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.4pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Asteras Tripolis EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Panaitolikos EU Bookmakers 27%
-4% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +34%
1.44/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.15
+15% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +42%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
359 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 73%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
25.1 Crosses 13.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Asteras Tripolis
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Panaitolikos
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.10 xG 0.95
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
338 Passes 288
76% Pass Accuracy 75%
14 Box Touches 14
24 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 4
13.01.2025 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 2-0 HT 0-0 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
21.09.2024 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos 1-1 HT 1-1 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
20.04.2024 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 0-2 HT 0-1 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
19.02.2024 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 2-2 HT 1-1 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
05.11.2023 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos 0-1 HT 0-1 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
18.03.2023 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 2-1 HT 1-0 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Asteras Tripolis
1-1
AWAY Panaitolikos
0.63 xG 1.29
38% Ball Possession 62%
6 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
241 Passes 416
80% Pass Accuracy 88%
16 Box Touches 29
16 Crosses 29
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Asteras Tripolis vs Panaitolikos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Asteras Tripolis and Panaitolikos couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Asteras Tripolis at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Asteras Tripolis had 38% of the ball to Panaitolikos's 62%, shots finished 6-8, expected goals 0.63 to 1.29.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Asteras Tripolis had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Asteras Tripolis and 1.00 for Panaitolikos.

What was the final score of Asteras Tripolis vs Panaitolikos?

Asteras Tripolis 1-1 Panaitolikos in the Greece - Super League on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Asteras Tripolis vs Panaitolikos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Asteras Tripolis win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Asteras Tripolis 49%, draw 28%, Panaitolikos 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Asteras Tripolis), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Asteras Tripolis) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
YUN More Greece - Super League
22 Nov 2025
21:00 Olympiakos vs Atromitos Analysis →