Panaitolikos 3-1 Asteras Tripolis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 14 Feb 2026

📅14/02/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
40%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.59
Over 2.5
42%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.38
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
4.61
6+ Goals
7%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.34
1/2
7%
33.5
1/X
6%
13.9
X/1
12%
5.79
X/2
13%
5.39
X/X
15%
3.87
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
20%
3.88
2/X
8%
13.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
34%
-3.1pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.9pp
40%
Away Win
36%
+4.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.0pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Panaitolikos EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Asteras Tripolis EU Bookmakers 40%
-11% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +10%
1.05/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.23
-7% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
357 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 75%
15.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.2
18.2 Crosses 17.2
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Panaitolikos
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Asteras Tripolis
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.10 xG 0.94
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
314 Passes 300
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 14
24 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
22.11.2025 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 1-1 HT 1-0 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
13.01.2025 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 2-0 HT 0-0 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
21.09.2024 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos 1-1 HT 1-1 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
20.04.2024 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 0-2 HT 0-1 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
19.02.2024 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 2-2 HT 1-1 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
05.11.2023 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos 0-1 HT 0-1 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Panaitolikos
3-1
AWAY Asteras Tripolis
1.54 xG 1.19
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
385 Passes 358
85% Pass Accuracy 85%
29 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Panaitolikos vs Asteras Tripolis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Panaitolikos got the better of Asteras Tripolis 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (31% / 29% / 40%) promised a tight game; Panaitolikos found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Panaitolikos had 52% of the ball to Asteras Tripolis's 48%, shots finished 16-7, expected goals 1.54 to 1.19.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Asteras Tripolis led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Panaitolikos and 1.17 for Asteras Tripolis.

What was the final score of Panaitolikos vs Asteras Tripolis?

Panaitolikos 3-1 Asteras Tripolis in the Greece - Super League on 14/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Panaitolikos vs Asteras Tripolis?

Before kick-off our model rated an Asteras Tripolis win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Panaitolikos 31%, draw 29%, Asteras Tripolis 40%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Asteras Tripolis) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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