Viktoria Plzen 1-2 Sparta Prag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Cup, 22 May 2024

📅22/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
43%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.91
Over 2.5
57%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.68
No
44%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
3.44
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.37
6+ Goals
13%
12.45
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.37 — our 26% vs market 23.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-2.0pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.9pp
43%
Away Win
40%
+3.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
48%
-5.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
52%
+5.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.2pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Viktoria Plzen EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Sparta Prag EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / -2%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
294 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Viktoria Plzen
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Sparta Prag
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.21 xG 0.13
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
417 Passes 271
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Box Touches 10
23 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.03.2024 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen 4-0 HT 1-0 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
30.09.2023 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 2-1 HT 2-1 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen ÇEK
27.05.2023 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 0-1 HT 0-0 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen ÇEK
26.04.2023 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 2-1 HT 1-1 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen ÇEK
05.11.2022 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen 0-1 HT 0-0 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
08.05.2022 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen 3-0 HT 3-0 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Viktoria Plzen
1-2
AWAY Sparta Prag
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Viktoria Plzen vs Sparta Prag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sparta Prag edged past Viktoria Plzen 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sparta Prag as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Viktoria Plzen had 47% of the ball to Sparta Prag's 53%, shots finished 11-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Viktoria Plzen and 0.83 for Sparta Prag.

What was the final score of Viktoria Plzen vs Sparta Prag?

Viktoria Plzen 1-2 Sparta Prag in the Czech Republic - Cup on 22/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Viktoria Plzen vs Sparta Prag?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sparta Prag win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Viktoria Plzen 32%, draw 25%, Sparta Prag 43%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sparta Prag), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sparta Prag) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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