Vicenza 2-0 Padova Calcio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 22 May 2024

📅22/05/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.19
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
34%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.51
Over 2.5
40%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.06
No
56%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.27
2-3 Goals
37%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
5.39
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
18%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-2.5pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.1pp
34%
Away Win
28%
+5.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.4pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vicenza EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Padova Calcio EU Bookmakers 32%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +19%
0.34/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.79
-72% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +48%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
290 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vicenza
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Padova Calcio
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
06.03.2024 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio 1-1 HT 0-0 Vicenza Vicenza İTC
29.10.2023 Vicenza Vicenza 1-1 HT 1-0 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio İTC
08.01.2023 Vicenza Vicenza 1-1 HT 0-1 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio İTC
10.09.2022 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio 2-1 HT 1-0 Vicenza Vicenza İTC
06.11.2019 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio 1-4 HT 0-3 Vicenza Vicenza İTCK
03.11.2019 Vicenza Vicenza 0-1 HT 0-0 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vicenza
2-0
AWAY Padova Calcio
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vicenza vs Padova Calcio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vicenza beat Padova Calcio 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 27% / 34% — and on the day Vicenza made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Vicenza had 38% of the ball to Padova Calcio's 62%, shots finished 7-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Padova Calcio led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Vicenza and 1.17 for Padova Calcio.

What was the final score of Vicenza vs Padova Calcio?

Vicenza 2-0 Padova Calcio in the Italy - Serie C on 22/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vicenza vs Padova Calcio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vicenza win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Vicenza 39%, draw 27%, Padova Calcio 34%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vicenza), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vicenza) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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