Padova Calcio 1-1 Vicenza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 6 Mar 2024

Padova Calcio
1-1 HT 0-0
Vicenza
📅06/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Italy - Serie C – 2023/2024

Padova Calcio vs Vicenza Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
32%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.52
Over 2.5
44%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.09
No
55%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.31
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
5.28
6+ Goals
9%
33.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-5.7pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.7pp
32%
Away Win
25%
+6.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.0pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Padova Calcio v Vicenza — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Padova Calcio EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Vicenza EU Bookmakers 29%
-5% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.21/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/0.99
-9% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +26%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
328 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4

Padova Calcio vs Vicenza Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Padova Calcio
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Vicenza
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
29.10.2023 Vicenza Vicenza 1-1 HT 1-0 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio İTC
08.01.2023 Vicenza Vicenza 1-1 HT 0-1 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio İTC
10.09.2022 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio 2-1 HT 1-0 Vicenza Vicenza İTC
06.11.2019 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio 1-4 HT 0-3 Vicenza Vicenza İTCK
03.11.2019 Vicenza Vicenza 0-1 HT 0-0 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio İTC
09.03.2013 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio 0-1 HT 0-1 Vicenza Vicenza İTB

Padova Calcio 1-1 Vicenza — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Padova Calcio
1-1
AWAY Vicenza
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Padova Calcio vs Vicenza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Padova Calcio and Vicenza couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Padova Calcio had 58% of the ball to Vicenza's 42%, shots finished 12-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Padova Calcio and 1.33 for Vicenza.

What was the final score of Padova Calcio vs Vicenza?

Padova Calcio 1-1 Vicenza in the Italy - Serie C on 06/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Padova Calcio vs Vicenza?

Before kick-off our model rated a Padova Calcio win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Padova Calcio 40%, draw 28%, Vicenza 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Padova Calcio), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Padova Calcio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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