New York City II 0-3 New Mexico United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Open Cup, 22 May 2024

📅22/05/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.46
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
39%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.33
Over 2.5
55%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.53
No
43%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.85
2-3 Goals
38%
1.93
4-5 Goals
26%
2.8
6+ Goals
13%
7.57
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
25%
+9.9pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.6pp
39%
Away Win
52%
-12.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
39%
+6.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
61%
-6.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
61%
-3.9pp
43%
BTTS No
39%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME New York City II EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY New Mexico United EU Bookmakers 56%
+60% / +60% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+54% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
304 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 452 · 84%
17.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
11.4 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH New York City II vs New Mexico United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

New Mexico United cruised past New York City II 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 26% / 39% — and on the day New Mexico United made the difference. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while both teams to score (57%) missed.

What was the final score of New York City II vs New Mexico United?

New York City II 0-3 New Mexico United in the USA - Open Cup on 22/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for New York City II vs New Mexico United?

Before kick-off our model rated an New Mexico United win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split New York City II 35%, draw 26%, New Mexico United 39%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (New Mexico United), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (New Mexico United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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