Levski Krumovgrad 0-1 Levski Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 22 May 2024

📅22/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.32
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
44%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
Over 2.5
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.63
No
51%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
20%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
26%
+5.4pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.9pp
45%
Away Win
48%
-3.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.7pp
51%
BTTS No
43%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Levski Krumovgrad EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Levski Sofia EU Bookmakers 52%
+32% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
2.59/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/0.24
+150% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / +150%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
307 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 425 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Levski Krumovgrad
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Levski Sofia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
5 Yellow Cards 2
10.03.2024 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 0-0 HT 0-0 Levski Krumovgrad Levski Krumovgrad BUL1
18.09.2023 Levski Krumovgrad Levski Krumovgrad 2-2 HT 1-2 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Levski Krumovgrad
0-1
AWAY Levski Sofia
46% Ball Possession 54%
1 Total Shots 11
0 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Levski Krumovgrad vs Levski Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Levski Sofia edged past Levski Krumovgrad 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Levski Sofia as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Levski Krumovgrad had 46% of the ball to Levski Sofia's 54%, shots finished 1-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Levski Krumovgrad and 1.00 for Levski Sofia.

What was the final score of Levski Krumovgrad vs Levski Sofia?

Levski Krumovgrad 0-1 Levski Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 22/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Levski Krumovgrad vs Levski Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Levski Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Levski Krumovgrad 32%, draw 24%, Levski Sofia 45%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Levski Sofia), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Levski Sofia) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BUL1 More Bulgaria - 1st Division
22 May 2024
18:30 Ludogorets Razgrad vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv Analysis →