Ludogorets Razgrad 3-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 22 May 2024

📅22/05/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.37
Draw
19%
4.62
Away
20%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.51
Over 2.5
59%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
68%
-6.8pp
19%
Draw
18%
+0.7pp
20%
Away Win
14%
+6.1pp
41%
Under 2.5
36%
+4.7pp
59%
Over 2.5
64%
-4.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.2pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ludogorets Razgrad EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Lokomotiv Plovdiv EU Bookmakers 17%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
3.15/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.56
+71% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +54% / +3%
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
340 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ludogorets Razgrad
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Lokomotiv Plovdiv
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.03.2024 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-2 HT 1-1 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad BUL1
06.12.2023 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 4-0 HT 1-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv BULK
27.09.2023 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 1-1 HT 1-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv BUL1
15.05.2023 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 1-0 HT 1-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ludogorets Razgrad
3-0
AWAY Lokomotiv Plovdiv
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ludogorets Razgrad vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ludogorets Razgrad cruised past Lokomotiv Plovdiv 3-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ludogorets Razgrad as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Ludogorets Razgrad had 54% of the ball to Lokomotiv Plovdiv's 46%, shots finished 15-7.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Ludogorets Razgrad had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Ludogorets Razgrad and 0.50 for Lokomotiv Plovdiv.

What was the final score of Ludogorets Razgrad vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?

Ludogorets Razgrad 3-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 22/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ludogorets Razgrad vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ludogorets Razgrad win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Ludogorets Razgrad 61%, draw 19%, Lokomotiv Plovdiv 20%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ludogorets Razgrad), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ludogorets Razgrad) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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