Tampa Bay United 4-2 Pinellas County — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 22 May 2024

📅22/05/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
30%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
2.18
Over 2.5
40%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.55
No
55%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+0.3pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.2pp
30%
Away Win
32%
-2.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
42%
+18.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
58%
-18.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
60%
-15.6pp
55%
BTTS No
40%
+15.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tampa Bay United EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Pinellas County EU Bookmakers 36%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -38% / -38%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -12%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
323 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 399 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Tampa Bay United vs Pinellas County
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tampa Bay United got the better of Pinellas County 4-2. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Tampa Bay United as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Tampa Bay United vs Pinellas County?

Tampa Bay United 4-2 Pinellas County in the USA - USL League 2 on 22/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tampa Bay United vs Pinellas County?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tampa Bay United win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Tampa Bay United 43%, draw 27%, Pinellas County 30%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tampa Bay United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tampa Bay United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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