West Chester United II 2-2 Lone Star II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 22 May 2024

📅22/05/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.25
Draw
21%
8.78
Away
22%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
27%
Over 2.5
73%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
69%
1.5
No
31%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
12%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
4%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
77%
-20.0pp
21%
Draw
10%
+11.9pp
22%
Away Win
14%
+8.1pp
69%
BTTS Yes
62%
+6.1pp
31%
BTTS No
38%
-6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME West Chester United II EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Lone Star II EU Bookmakers 16%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
3.61/1.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/3.07
+31% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME West Chester United II
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Lone Star II
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 45%
25 Total Shots 16
11 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
19.07.2023 Lone Star II 1-2 HT 0-0 West Chester United II West Chester United II USL2
31.05.2023 West Chester United II West Chester United II 4-0 Lone Star II USL2
14.07.2022 West Chester United II West Chester United II 2-2 HT 0-1 Lone Star II USL2
POST-MATCH West Chester United II vs Lone Star II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

West Chester United II and Lone Star II couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had West Chester United II at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (73%), both teams to score (69%) came in.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, West Chester United II had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for West Chester United II and 1.00 for Lone Star II.

What was the final score of West Chester United II vs Lone Star II?

West Chester United II 2-2 Lone Star II in the USA - USL League 2 on 22/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for West Chester United II vs Lone Star II?

Before kick-off our model rated a West Chester United II win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split West Chester United II 57%, draw 21%, Lone Star II 22%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (West Chester United II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (West Chester United II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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