Long Island Rough Riders 3-3 Manhattan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 22 May 2025

📅22/05/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
29%
3.72
Away
23%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.46
No
49%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
6%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-4.9pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.7pp
23%
Away Win
23%
+0.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
64%
-13.5pp
49%
BTTS No
36%
+13.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Long Island Rough Riders EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Manhattan EU Bookmakers 26%
-39% / -39% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.27/2.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.00
-41% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +88%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
390 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Long Island Rough Riders
3W-2D-0L
AWAY Manhattan
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
11.07.2024 Manhattan Manhattan 1-1 HT 0-1 Long Island Rough Riders Long Island Rough Riders USL2
13.06.2024 Long Island Rough Riders Long Island Rough Riders 2-0 HT 1-0 Manhattan Manhattan USL2
09.07.2023 Long Island Rough Riders Long Island Rough Riders 4-0 HT 1-0 Manhattan Manhattan USL2
15.06.2023 Manhattan Manhattan 1-1 HT 0-0 Long Island Rough Riders Long Island Rough Riders USL2
07.07.2022 Manhattan Manhattan 1-2 HT 0-1 Long Island Rough Riders Long Island Rough Riders USL2
POST-MATCH Long Island Rough Riders vs Manhattan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Long Island Rough Riders and Manhattan shared the points in a 3-3 draw. It was 3-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Long Island Rough Riders at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Long Island Rough Riders had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Long Island Rough Riders and 0.60 for Manhattan.

What was the final score of Long Island Rough Riders vs Manhattan?

Long Island Rough Riders 3-3 Manhattan in the USA - USL League 2 on 22/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Long Island Rough Riders vs Manhattan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Long Island Rough Riders win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Long Island Rough Riders 48%, draw 28%, Manhattan 23%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Long Island Rough Riders) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Long Island Rough Riders) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
USL2 More USA - USL League 2
22 May 2025
01:00 Boston Bolts vs Vermont Green Analysis →
01:00 North Carolina II vs Carolina Dynamo Analysis →
02:00 Staten Island Athletic vs Cedar Stars Rush Analysis →
02:00 Charlotte Independence II vs Wake Analysis →
02:00 Tobacco Road vs SC United Bantams Analysis →
02:00 Brooke House vs Nona Analysis →