Tobacco Road 2-1 SC United Bantams — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 22 May 2025

📅22/05/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
3.32
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
54%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
Over 2.5
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.43
No
51%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
19%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
31%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
26%
-5.3pp
25%
Draw
21%
+3.5pp
54%
Away Win
52%
+1.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
66%
-17.2pp
51%
BTTS No
34%
+17.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tobacco Road EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY SC United Bantams EU Bookmakers 57%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
2.25/2.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/0.47
+56% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / +150%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
333 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tobacco Road
0W-1D-0L
AWAY SC United Bantams
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
26.06.2024 SC United Bantams SC United Bantams 3-3 Tobacco Road Tobacco Road USL2
POST-MATCH Tobacco Road vs SC United Bantams
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tobacco Road edged past SC United Bantams 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was SC United Bantams at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

What was the final score of Tobacco Road vs SC United Bantams?

Tobacco Road 2-1 SC United Bantams in the USA - USL League 2 on 22/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tobacco Road vs SC United Bantams?

Before kick-off our model rated an SC United Bantams win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Tobacco Road 21%, draw 25%, SC United Bantams 54%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (SC United Bantams), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (SC United Bantams) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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