Hestrafor 5-1 Jonsereds IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 22 May 2026

📅22/05/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.8
Draw
19%
3.54
Away
44%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.46
No
57%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
21%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
32%
+4.6pp
19%
Draw
25%
-5.8pp
44%
Away Win
43%
+1.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
64%
-21.1pp
57%
BTTS No
36%
+21.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hestrafor EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Jonsereds IF EU Bookmakers 48%
-28% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
2.04/2.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.91
+33% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -21%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
353 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 387 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hestrafor
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Jonsereds IF
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
29.06.2025 Jonsereds IF Jonsereds IF 0-0 HT 0-0 Hestrafor İSÇ4
06.06.2025 Hestrafor 1-3 HT 1-0 Jonsereds IF Jonsereds IF İSÇ4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hestrafor
5-1
AWAY Jonsereds IF
46% Ball Possession 54%
23 Total Shots 7
13 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Hestrafor vs Jonsereds IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hestrafor cruised past Jonsereds IF 5-1. Half-time: 3-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Jonsereds IF at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hestrafor had 46% of the ball to Jonsereds IF's 54%, shots finished 23-7.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Jonsereds IF led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Hestrafor and 1.50 for Jonsereds IF.

What was the final score of Hestrafor vs Jonsereds IF?

Hestrafor 5-1 Jonsereds IF in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 22/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hestrafor vs Jonsereds IF?

Before kick-off our model rated an Jonsereds IF win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Hestrafor 37%, draw 19%, Jonsereds IF 44%. The final score 5-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Jonsereds IF) ✗ BTTS No
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