Herrestads 1-1 Vanersborgs FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 22 May 2026

📅22/05/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.0
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.55
No
46%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
+0.0pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.4pp
30%
Away Win
30%
+0.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.5pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Herrestads EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Vanersborgs FK EU Bookmakers 33%
+10% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +17%
2.14/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.68
+14% / +109% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
319 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Herrestads
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Vanersborgs FK
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
29.08.2025 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK 1-0 HT 0-0 Herrestads Herrestads İSÇ4
16.05.2025 Herrestads Herrestads 3-0 HT 1-0 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK İSÇ4
04.10.2024 Herrestads Herrestads 2-0 HT 1-0 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK İSÇ4
19.06.2024 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK 2-1 HT 1-1 Herrestads Herrestads İSÇ4
12.08.2023 Herrestads Herrestads 3-1 HT 3-0 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK İSÇ4
15.04.2023 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK 0-3 HT 0-3 Herrestads Herrestads İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Herrestads vs Vanersborgs FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Herrestads and Vanersborgs FK shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Herrestads at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Herrestads had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Herrestads and 0.67 for Vanersborgs FK.

What was the final score of Herrestads vs Vanersborgs FK?

Herrestads 1-1 Vanersborgs FK in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 22/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Herrestads vs Vanersborgs FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Herrestads win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Herrestads 46%, draw 24%, Vanersborgs FK 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Herrestads), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Herrestads) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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