Herrestads 3-0 Vanersborgs FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 16 May 2025

📅16/05/2025 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
20%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.29
Over 2.5
45%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.6
No
57%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
53%
-0.8pp
27%
Draw
23%
+4.6pp
20%
Away Win
24%
-3.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
40%
+15.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
60%
-15.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
58%
-15.1pp
57%
BTTS No
42%
+15.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Herrestads EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Vanersborgs FK EU Bookmakers 28%
+11% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +30%
2.12/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.24
+2% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +53%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
316 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.4 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Herrestads
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Vanersborgs FK
2.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
04.10.2024 Herrestads Herrestads 2-0 HT 1-0 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK İSÇ4
19.06.2024 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK 2-1 HT 1-1 Herrestads Herrestads İSÇ4
12.08.2023 Herrestads Herrestads 3-1 HT 3-0 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK İSÇ4
15.04.2023 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK 0-3 HT 0-3 Herrestads Herrestads İSÇ4
18.09.2022 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK 3-3 HT 0-1 Herrestads Herrestads İSÇ4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Herrestads
3-0
AWAY Vanersborgs FK
47% Ball Possession 53%
5 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Herrestads vs Vanersborgs FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Herrestads cruised past Vanersborgs FK 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Herrestads as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Herrestads had 47% of the ball to Vanersborgs FK's 53%, shots finished 5-6.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Herrestads had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.40 goals for Herrestads and 1.20 for Vanersborgs FK.

What was the final score of Herrestads vs Vanersborgs FK?

Herrestads 3-0 Vanersborgs FK in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 16/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Herrestads vs Vanersborgs FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Herrestads win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Herrestads 52%, draw 27%, Vanersborgs FK 20%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Herrestads), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Herrestads) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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