Nacka Iliria 4-0 Skiljebo SK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 16 May 2025

📅16/05/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.8
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
22%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
Over 2.5
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.43
No
41%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
5%
X/X
19%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
51%
-1.5pp
29%
Draw
23%
+5.5pp
22%
Away Win
26%
-4.0pp
59%
BTTS Yes
66%
-6.9pp
41%
BTTS No
34%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nacka Iliria EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Skiljebo SK EU Bookmakers 29%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -11%
2.04/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/2.38
+7% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -21%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
366 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nacka Iliria
4-0
AWAY Skiljebo SK
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Nacka Iliria vs Skiljebo SK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nacka Iliria ran out comfortable winners over Skiljebo SK 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Nacka Iliria as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nacka Iliria had 53% of the ball to Skiljebo SK's 47%, shots finished 10-14.

What was the final score of Nacka Iliria vs Skiljebo SK?

Nacka Iliria 4-0 Skiljebo SK in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 16/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nacka Iliria vs Skiljebo SK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nacka Iliria win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Nacka Iliria 50%, draw 29%, Skiljebo SK 22%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nacka Iliria), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nacka Iliria) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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