16/05/2025
·
20:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
2-2
Hestrafor vs Tvaaker Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
Over 2.5
48%
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
8%
X/X
22%
2/1
4%
2/2
31%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
22%
33%
Draw
23%
45%
Away Win
55%
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
47%
BTTS No
40%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Hestrafor v Tvaaker — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Hestrafor
EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY
Tvaaker
EU Bookmakers 59%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+32% /
+32%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+49%
/
–
49%
Ball Possession
51%
11
Total Shots
13
4
Shots on Target
5
5
Corners
5
283 · 79%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
291 · 81%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Hestrafor vs Tvaaker
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Hestrafor got the better of Tvaaker 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.
Our pre-match lean was Tvaaker at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
What was the final score of Hestrafor vs Tvaaker?
Hestrafor 3-1 Tvaaker in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 16/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Hestrafor vs Tvaaker?
Before kick-off our model rated an Tvaaker win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Hestrafor 22%, draw 33%, Tvaaker 45%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Tvaaker), Under 2.5 went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Tvaaker)
✗ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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İSÇ4
More Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland
16 May 2025