Hestrafor 3-1 Tvaaker — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 16 May 2025

📅16/05/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.87
Draw
33%
3.8
Away
45%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
Over 2.5
48%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.56
No
47%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
8%
X/X
22%
2/1
4%
2/2
31%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
22%
-0.5pp
33%
Draw
23%
+10.5pp
45%
Away Win
55%
-10.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.2pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hestrafor EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Tvaaker EU Bookmakers 59%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +32% / +32%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% /
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
283 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Hestrafor vs Tvaaker
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hestrafor got the better of Tvaaker 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Tvaaker at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

What was the final score of Hestrafor vs Tvaaker?

Hestrafor 3-1 Tvaaker in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 16/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hestrafor vs Tvaaker?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tvaaker win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Hestrafor 22%, draw 33%, Tvaaker 45%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Tvaaker), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tvaaker) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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