Vanersborgs FK 1-0 Herrestads — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 29 Aug 2025

📅29/08/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.46
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
54%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.29
Over 2.5
57%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.56
No
40%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
11%
1/X
8%
X/1
5%
X/2
18%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
25%
-0.0pp
21%
Draw
23%
-1.7pp
54%
Away Win
52%
+1.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
40%
+3.7pp
57%
Over 2.5
60%
-3.7pp
60%
BTTS Yes
60%
+0.0pp
40%
BTTS No
40%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vanersborgs FK EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Herrestads EU Bookmakers 56%
-4% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.19/2.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.01/1.01
-16% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +22%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
307 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vanersborgs FK
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Herrestads
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
16.05.2025 Herrestads Herrestads 3-0 HT 1-0 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK İSÇ4
04.10.2024 Herrestads Herrestads 2-0 HT 1-0 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK İSÇ4
19.06.2024 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK 2-1 HT 1-1 Herrestads Herrestads İSÇ4
12.08.2023 Herrestads Herrestads 3-1 HT 3-0 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK İSÇ4
15.04.2023 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK 0-3 HT 0-3 Herrestads Herrestads İSÇ4
18.09.2022 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK 3-3 HT 0-1 Herrestads Herrestads İSÇ4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vanersborgs FK
1-0
AWAY Herrestads
46% Ball Possession 54%
6 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Vanersborgs FK vs Herrestads
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vanersborgs FK edged past Herrestads 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Herrestads at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Vanersborgs FK had 46% of the ball to Herrestads's 54%, shots finished 6-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Herrestads led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Vanersborgs FK and 2.50 for Herrestads.

What was the final score of Vanersborgs FK vs Herrestads?

Vanersborgs FK 1-0 Herrestads in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 29/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vanersborgs FK vs Herrestads?

Before kick-off our model rated an Herrestads win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Vanersborgs FK 25%, draw 21%, Herrestads 54%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Herrestads) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSÇ4 More Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland
29 Aug 2025
19:00 Haga vs IK Tord Analysis →
19:30 Böljan vs Tvaaker Analysis →
20:00 Franke vs Nacka Iliria Analysis →
20:00 Hogaborgs BK vs IFK Hassleholm Analysis →
20:00 Kristianstads FF vs Nosaby IF Analysis →
20:00 IFK Kumla vs FBK Karlstad Analysis →