Eltham Redbacks 3-3 Melbourne Victory II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AVPL1, 22 May 2026

Eltham Redbacks
3-3 HT 2-0
Melbourne Victory II
📅22/05/2026 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
AVPL1 – 2026

Eltham Redbacks vs Melbourne Victory II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.8
Draw
19%
3.64
Away
44%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.43
No
42%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
13%
X/1
22%
X/2
17%
X/X
3%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
32%
+4.7pp
19%
Draw
24%
-4.7pp
44%
Away Win
44%
+0.0pp
58%
BTTS Yes
66%
-7.7pp
42%
BTTS No
34%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Eltham Redbacks v Melbourne Victory II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eltham Redbacks EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Melbourne Victory II EU Bookmakers 48%
+32% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -55% / -55%
1.49/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
-5% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / -31%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
308 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 416 · 85%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Eltham Redbacks vs Melbourne Victory II Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eltham Redbacks
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Melbourne Victory II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
The Meetings
16.02.2026 Melbourne Victory II Melbourne Victory II 2-1 HT 1-1 Eltham Redbacks AVPL1
POST-MATCH Eltham Redbacks vs Melbourne Victory II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eltham Redbacks and Melbourne Victory II shared the points in a 3-3 draw. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Melbourne Victory II at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

What was the final score of Eltham Redbacks vs Melbourne Victory II?

Eltham Redbacks 3-3 Melbourne Victory II in the AVPL1 on 22/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eltham Redbacks vs Melbourne Victory II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Melbourne Victory II win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Eltham Redbacks 37%, draw 19%, Melbourne Victory II 44%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Melbourne Victory II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Melbourne Victory II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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