Radomlje 3-2 Mura — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 22 May 2026

📅22/05/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.47
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
37%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.21
Over 2.5
47%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.53
No
47%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
4.18
2-3 Goals
43%
1.82
4-5 Goals
20%
2.77
6+ Goals
8%
7.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.18 — our 29% vs market 17.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.7pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.8pp
37%
Away Win
38%
-0.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
41%
+11.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
59%
-11.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
61%
-8.3pp
47%
BTTS No
39%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Radomlje EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Mura EU Bookmakers 42%
+5% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -12%
1.43/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.30
+7% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -9%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
319 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Radomlje
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Mura
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
21.03.2026 Mura Mura 2-0 HT 1-0 Radomlje Radomlje SLVN
06.12.2025 Radomlje Radomlje 3-1 HT 2-0 Mura Mura SLVN
21.09.2025 Mura Mura 0-0 HT 0-0 Radomlje Radomlje SLVN
03.05.2025 Radomlje Radomlje 2-0 HT 0-0 Mura Mura SLVN
08.03.2025 Mura Mura 2-0 HT 2-0 Radomlje Radomlje SLVN
10.11.2024 Radomlje Radomlje 2-4 Mura Mura SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Radomlje
3-2
AWAY Mura
52% Ball Possession 48%
6 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 0
FAQ Radomlje vs Mura
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Radomlje edged past Mura 3-2 in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 22 May 2026. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Radomlje had 52% of the ball to Mura's 48%, shots finished 6-15.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mura lead the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Radomlje and 1.50 for Mura.

What was the final score of Radomlje vs Mura?

Radomlje 3-2 Mura in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 22/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Radomlje vs Mura?

Before kick-off our model rated a Radomlje win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Radomlje 38%, draw 25%, Mura 37%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Radomlje), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Radomlje) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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SLVN More Slovenia - 1st Division
22 May 2026
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