ND Primorje 0-4 Celje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 22 May 2026

📅22/05/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
5.4
Draw
21%
4.81
Away
62%
1.4
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
3.17
Over 2.5
61%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.46
No
40%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
7.42
2-3 Goals
36%
2.22
4-5 Goals
31%
2.28
6+ Goals
13%
3.94
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
6%
X/2
27%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
29%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
15%
+2.0pp
21%
Draw
18%
+3.5pp
62%
Away Win
67%
-5.5pp
39%
Under 2.5
28%
+10.3pp
61%
Over 2.5
72%
-10.3pp
60%
BTTS Yes
64%
-4.3pp
40%
BTTS No
36%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ND Primorje EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Celje EU Bookmakers 71%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -5%
0.67/1.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.40/0.87
-33% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +10%
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
228 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 422 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ND Primorje
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Celje
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 3.67
35% Ball Possession 65%
8 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
22.03.2026 Celje Celje 5-1 HT 1-0 ND Primorje ND Primorje SLVN
07.12.2025 Celje Celje 4-1 HT 2-1 ND Primorje ND Primorje SLVN
21.09.2025 ND Primorje ND Primorje 2-3 HT 1-0 Celje Celje SLVN
04.05.2025 ND Primorje ND Primorje 0-5 HT 0-4 Celje Celje SLVN
09.03.2025 Celje Celje 2-2 HT 1-0 ND Primorje ND Primorje SLVN
10.11.2024 ND Primorje ND Primorje 1-3 HT 1-0 Celje Celje SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ND Primorje
0-4
AWAY Celje
34% Ball Possession 66%
5 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 11
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH ND Primorje vs Celje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celje ran out comfortable winners over ND Primorje 4-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Celje as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (61%) landed while both teams to score (60%) missed.

On the day, ND Primorje had 34% of the ball to Celje's 66%, shots finished 5-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celje led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for ND Primorje and 3.67 for Celje.

What was the final score of ND Primorje vs Celje?

ND Primorje 0-4 Celje in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 22/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ND Primorje vs Celje?

Before kick-off our model rated an Celje win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split ND Primorje 17%, draw 21%, Celje 62%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celje), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Celje) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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SLVN More Slovenia - 1st Division
22 May 2026
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