Celje 5-1 ND Primorje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 22 Mar 2026

📅22/03/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.37
Draw
20%
4.81
Away
14%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.63
Over 2.5
58%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.61
No
46%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.65
2-3 Goals
39%
2.0
4-5 Goals
27%
2.45
6+ Goals
12%
5.29
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
68%
-2.4pp
20%
Draw
17%
+2.3pp
15%
Away Win
14%
+0.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
34%
+8.0pp
58%
Over 2.5
66%
-8.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.3pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Celje EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY ND Primorje EU Bookmakers 18%
-6% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +1%
2.40/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/2.44
+9% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -29%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
447 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Celje
4W-1D-1L
AWAY ND Primorje
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
64% Ball Possession 36%
19 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
07.12.2025 Celje Celje 4-1 HT 2-1 ND Primorje ND Primorje SLVN
21.09.2025 ND Primorje ND Primorje 2-3 HT 1-0 Celje Celje SLVN
04.05.2025 ND Primorje ND Primorje 0-5 HT 0-4 Celje Celje SLVN
09.03.2025 Celje Celje 2-2 HT 1-0 ND Primorje ND Primorje SLVN
10.11.2024 ND Primorje ND Primorje 1-3 HT 1-0 Celje Celje SLVN
25.08.2024 Celje Celje 0-3 HT 0-3 ND Primorje ND Primorje SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Celje
5-1
AWAY ND Primorje
66% Ball Possession 34%
19 Total Shots 8
11 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Celje vs ND Primorje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celje ran out comfortable winners over ND Primorje 5-1. Half-time: 1-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Celje as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Celje had 66% of the ball to ND Primorje's 34%, shots finished 19-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celje had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Celje and 1.50 for ND Primorje.

What was the final score of Celje vs ND Primorje?

Celje 5-1 ND Primorje in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Celje vs ND Primorje?

Before kick-off our model rated a Celje win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Celje 66%, draw 20%, ND Primorje 15%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celje), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Celje) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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