ND Primorje 0-5 Celje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.13
Draw
33%
3.72
Away
43%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.07
Over 2.5
52%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.73
No
45%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.83
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
24%
3.0
6+ Goals
12%
9.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
11%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
19%
2/1
8%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
21%
+3.1pp
33%
Draw
24%
+9.5pp
43%
Away Win
55%
-12.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
54%
+1.3pp
45%
BTTS No
46%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ND Primorje EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Celje EU Bookmakers 60%
+47% / +47% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +1%
1.54/0.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.97/0.92
+46% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +10%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
296 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 431 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ND Primorje
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Celje
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
09.03.2025 Celje Celje 2-2 HT 1-0 ND Primorje ND Primorje SLVN
10.11.2024 ND Primorje ND Primorje 1-3 HT 1-0 Celje Celje SLVN
25.08.2024 Celje Celje 0-3 HT 0-3 ND Primorje ND Primorje SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ND Primorje
0-5
AWAY Celje
36% Ball Possession 64%
9 Total Shots 23
3 Shots on Target 11
3 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH ND Primorje vs Celje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celje cruised past ND Primorje 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-4. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Celje as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, ND Primorje had 36% of the ball to Celje's 64%, shots finished 9-23.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for ND Primorje and 1.67 for Celje.

What was the final score of ND Primorje vs Celje?

ND Primorje 0-5 Celje in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ND Primorje vs Celje?

Before kick-off our model rated an Celje win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split ND Primorje 24%, draw 33%, Celje 43%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celje), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Celje) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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4 May 2025
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